Are There Really Bubbles in Oil Prices?

dc.contributor.author Balcilar, Mehmet
dc.contributor.author Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin
dc.contributor.author Yetkiner, Hakan
dc.date.accessioned 2023-06-16T14:11:21Z
dc.date.available 2023-06-16T14:11:21Z
dc.date.issued 2014
dc.description.abstract The aim of this paper is to identify bubbles in oil prices by using the exponential fitting methodology proposed by Watanabe et al. (2007) [28,29]. We use the daily US dollar closing crude oil prices of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) covering the 1986:01:02-2013:07:09 and the Brent for the 1987:05:20-2013:07:09 periods. The distinguishing feature of this study from the previous studies is that this is the first study in the literature showing the existence of bubbles in crude oil prices. We found that there are four distinct periods of persistent bubbles in the crude oil prices since 1986. Two of these persistent bubbles are before 2000 and two of them are after 2000. We conclude that further research is needed to understand better how futures markets may impact the oil price formation. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.physa.2014.09.020
dc.identifier.issn 0378-4371
dc.identifier.issn 1873-2119
dc.identifier.scopus 2-s2.0-84907481733
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2014.09.020
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14365/1363
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Elsevier Science Bv en_US
dc.relation.ispartof Physıca A-Statıstıcal Mechanıcs And Its Applıcatıons en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US
dc.subject Crude oil price en_US
dc.subject Exponential fitting en_US
dc.subject Bubbles en_US
dc.subject Index Funds en_US
dc.subject Futures en_US
dc.subject Financialization en_US
dc.title Are There Really Bubbles in Oil Prices? en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dspace.entity.type Publication
gdc.author.id Yetkiner, Hakan/0000-0002-4455-8757
gdc.author.id BALCILAR, MEHMET/0000-0001-9694-5196
gdc.author.id ozdemir, zeynel abidin/0000-0001-8600-0463
gdc.author.scopusid 55921038200
gdc.author.scopusid 15770313900
gdc.author.scopusid 6507809820
gdc.author.wosid Yetkiner, Hakan/D-5955-2014
gdc.author.wosid BALCILAR, MEHMET/K-7346-2019
gdc.bip.impulseclass C5
gdc.bip.influenceclass C4
gdc.bip.popularityclass C4
gdc.coar.access open access
gdc.coar.type text::journal::journal article
gdc.collaboration.industrial false
gdc.description.department İzmir Ekonomi Üniversitesi en_US
gdc.description.departmenttemp [Balcilar, Mehmet] Eastern Mediterranean Univ, Dept Econ, Famagusta, Turkey; [Balcilar, Mehmet] Univ Pretoria, Dept Econ, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa; [Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin] Gazi Univ, Dept Econ, TR-06500 Ankara, Turkey; [Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin] ERF, Cairo, Egypt; [Yetkiner, Hakan] Izmir Univ Econ, Dept Econ, TR-35330 Izmir, Turkey en_US
gdc.description.endpage 638 en_US
gdc.description.publicationcategory Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı en_US
gdc.description.scopusquality Q1
gdc.description.startpage 631 en_US
gdc.description.volume 416 en_US
gdc.description.wosquality Q2
gdc.identifier.openalex W2077634113
gdc.identifier.wos WOS:000345725300060
gdc.index.type WoS
gdc.index.type Scopus
gdc.oaire.diamondjournal false
gdc.oaire.impulse 4.0
gdc.oaire.influence 3.3696796E-9
gdc.oaire.isgreen true
gdc.oaire.keywords Exponential fitting
gdc.oaire.keywords Bubbles
gdc.oaire.keywords Crude oil price
gdc.oaire.popularity 1.4999655E-8
gdc.oaire.publicfunded false
gdc.oaire.sciencefields 0211 other engineering and technologies
gdc.oaire.sciencefields 0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering
gdc.oaire.sciencefields 02 engineering and technology
gdc.openalex.collaboration International
gdc.openalex.fwci 6.8114
gdc.openalex.normalizedpercentile 0.97
gdc.openalex.toppercent TOP 10%
gdc.opencitations.count 26
gdc.plumx.crossrefcites 9
gdc.plumx.mendeley 39
gdc.plumx.scopuscites 28
gdc.scopus.citedcount 28
gdc.virtual.author Yetkiner, İ Hakan
gdc.wos.citedcount 24
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