Volatility Transmission Between Housing and Stock Markets in Europe: a Multivariate Garch Perspective

Abstract

Over the past decade, the significant changes in the prices of stock and real estate markets have intensified the interest of heightened concern about volatility in these markets. This paper deals with the dynamic return and volatility transmissions across real estate and stock markets in European countries over the period from 1985:Q1 through 2017:Q1. Using VAR-BEKK-GARCH model, we find significant evidence supporting shock and volatility spillover effects from real estate to stock markets in Denmark, Finland, Ireland and Spain whereas evidence running from stock to real estate markets is found in Spain, Sweden and Italy. In contrast, there is no evidence of any such spillovers in Belgium. Overall, these empirical findings provide fresh insights and policy implications in cross-market volatility spillovers for domestic and international investors, and also policy makers, through the potential for improved risk management and more efficient portfolio diversification.